Sunday, February 1, 2015
Flawed narrative on remittance
The following article was published in Republica on February 2, 2015. The direct link to Republica is here.
Economic development in Nepal has never been inclusive. There is still
a disparity based on geographical difference, ethnic groups and rural-urban
divide. Minorities and marginalized groups continue to suffer under poverty. As
a result, social exclusion and economic poverty are still strongly correlated.
Seventy percent of the ‘untouchables’ and 60% of the indigenous population are
poor. Over 42% of households in the mountains are poor while the figure is only
23.4% in the plains. Only 4% of households in Kathmandu valley are poor. The
figure for urban areas outside the valley is 33%.
Poverty and lack of economic opportunities has meant that Nepal is
losing its working-age population to overseas work. Around 65% of Nepalis who
leave Nepal every day as migrant workers are 29-years old or younger. The other
35% are between 29 and 44 years of age. So, the Nepalis who leave are at the
prime of their life. As a result, many Nepali villages in the hills and
mountains have virtually lost all their working-age population to the Middle
East and other migrant destinations. That demography of 15 to 44-year olds is
the target demography of almost all the development programming in Nepal. When
that target population is missing from most program locations, it becomes
difficult for development organizations to carry out their mandate and programs.
The trend for migration does not seem to be slowing down. Therefore, international
and national development organizations in Nepal have a real problem in their
hands in the coming decade.
This exodus, of mainly working age males, has not been all for the
negative. In the absence of males, women in such locations have shouldered more
responsibilities. Remittance income has supported them in this role. Their
ability to venture into new responsibilities have been made easier because of remittance
income which has been increasing each passing year. According to the World
Bank, Nepal was the third largest recipient of remittances in 2013 with $5.4
billion. The 2011 Census showed that 25.4% or 1.4 million Nepali households had
at least one member of the household living abroad. With the guaranteed
financial support from remittance income, those left behind—mainly the women—have
become more participatory in community work and decision making. For many, the
absence of males has been an opportunity to participate in economic and social
work which they would not have had a chance to engage in otherwise.
Nepal’s remittance story is sad. It did not arise because excellent
Nepali workers wanted to go global to take advantage of lucrative opportunities
overseas. It arose out of inequality and uneven level of development across
Nepal. The Maoists exploited this inequality and uneven economic development to
launch their revolution. The Maoist conflict has now ended, but the issues
still remain. For example: despite having similar geography, demography and
climate, the mid- and far-western terai are much less developed than the
eastern terai. Jhapa, Morang and Sunsari in eastern terai are among the top
five contributors of revenue to the coffers of Nepal government. But,
Kanchanpur, Kailali, Banke and all other districts in mid- and far-western
terai are decades behind in development.
The eastern districts also rank very high on human development indices.
Residents of Jhapa and Sunsari are also disproportionately represented in the
Nepali civil service. Similarly, hilly districts in eastern, western and
central Nepal are much more developed than those in the mid- and far-west. Among
the hilly districts, Palpa and Syangja are disproportionately represented in
Nepali civil service. Kaski and Kathmandu are much more developed than similar
hilly districts in mid- and far-west. It would not be a stretch to say that
there has been a systematic exclusion of mid- and far-west Nepal from the
development process. The Maoist conflict successfully exploited that exclusion
but did not actually solve it.
There are many in Nepal who believe that the remittance economy has
helped to narrow the development gap between the haves and the have-nots. They
believe that the poor have been able to go overseas for work, and the
remittance income they send home has helped their household enter the coveted
middle-class. But, there is a story of exclusion and exploitation within that
story. Manpower agencies and brokers charge a much higher rate from workers
than advertised. The government has set a maximum fee of Rs 60,000 that agents
can charge for sending a migrant worker to Malaysia and Rs 80,000 for Korea.
However, agents in Jhapa last year were charging Rs 260,000 as fees for
Malaysia and Rs 700,000 for Korea. This practice of extorting higher fees than what
is allowed by the government results in exclusion of the poor from an
opportunity to go to these lucrative destinations.
As a result, the poor either don’t go to these lucrative destinations
or end up taking huge loans to fund their trip. The high rates make the trip affordable
to only the middle-class Nepalis who can afford to pay such high fees. This
exclusion based on affordability hurts the poor two ways. First, they are
unable to go and work in places like Malaysia and Korea that have better
working conditions and pay higher wages. Second, the problem of affordability
forces the poor to choose locations such as the Middle Eastern countries or
India where labor practices are sketchy and wages aren’t great. They are able
to sustain a livelihood and be able to make their families slightly better off,
but they will always lag behind the middle-class.
Nepal’s remittance story is not inclusive, and does not do much for the
poor Nepalis. Nepal’s poor need a different narrative.
Labels: inclusive growth, migration, remittance, unemployment
Thursday, January 17, 2013
Jhapa’s refugee woes—then and now
The following article was published in Republica on January 12, 2012 with the title "In another country". The unedited version is below.
Jhapa’s refugee woes—then and now
Bhutani
refugee influx in eastern Nepal made many Jhapalis unhappy two decades ago.
Local governments were not ready to accommodate a large influx of people. As a
result, public service delivery got stretched to its limits. The incoming
group’s different cultural background brought frequent conflicts between locals
and refugees. Slowly, the locals and the refugees adjusted to the situation,
and the locals even employed refugees as cheap labor in construction and
agriculture. However, now that many refugees have started relocating to western
countries, many Jhapalis are unhappy, again.
It is
not that there were no local conflicts in Jhapa before the refugees arrived.
Arrival of Bhutani refugees and their subsequent resettlement in the eastern
camps further aggravated many social problems in Jhapa. Youth unemployment was
already a significant problem. After their arrival, the refugees provided their
labor and services for cheap since they were not legally permitted to work. Local
unemployed youths did not view this favorably, and conflict ensued.
Refugees
were also accused of bringing with them an acceptance of a culture of taking in
multiple spouses. Elders in local
communities in Jhapa disapproved of this practice among the refugees. However,
in the last two decades, the practice has seeped into local culture. As a
result, recent generations of locals in communities next to refugee camps have
also started taking in multiple wives. That has created conflict between older and
younger generations of locals in communities surrounding the refugee camps in
Jhapa.
Locals
in surrounding communities also mention that, in comparison to the local
population, the refugees were knowledgeable about medicinal herbs. They could
identify medicinal herbs and plants in the forests around the camps. Since they
were not allowed to work legally, refugees took to the forests and collected
these herbs, and sold them as a way to earn an income. As a result, locals still
accuse refugees of overharvesting local forests of essential herbs which
ultimately affects the wellbeing of the forests.
Because
their incomes were limited, refugees could not afford fuels and resorted to
getting firewood from nearby community forests. As a result, locals still accuse
them of destroying local community forests through excessive cattle grazing and
cutting trees for firewood. The illegal use of community forests’ resources created
a variety of conflicts between the refugee population and the locals. While blaming
refugees for deforestation family and friends of a refugee that died in the
camp were declined necessary wood for cremation by the locals and community
forestry groups in multiple occasions.
Life
continued in the refugee camps and in surrounding communities despite, even
amidst, various disagreements and conflicts. Slowly the two sides learnt to
live with each other. However, the locals who had failed to adapt to changing
conditions had hoped that rehabilitation efforts by various agencies, such as the
International Organization for Migration, would take care of the refugee
nuisance, thus bringing the good old peaceful times back. But, current
rehabilitation and resettlement efforts for refugees have not brought desired
peace and harmony back in the local communities. Instead, resettlement efforts
have brought new sets of problems.
There
has been an increase in intra-camp conflicts between refugees who want to leave
and those who don’t. Those who wish to leave cannot be faulted for their choice
because they have remained stateless for over two decades now with no hopes of
getting citizenship rights in Nepal. For the sake of their own future and of
their children’s, resettlement to America, Canada or Australia is an enticing
offer as it opens an opportunity of citizenship and larger rights instead of
becoming stateless citizen for who knows how many more years. Also, many have
accepted the reality that it seems highly unlikely Bhutan will ever accept them
back.
However,
a group of refugees who choose to stay behind in the camps abhor these asylum
seekers. Those who have decided to stay behind claim doing so in order to keep
fighting for their principles and rights. They believe that seeking asylum in
the west represents a win for the brutal Bhutani monarchy and a defeat for
those who champion democratic ideals. Resettlement has polarized the camp
population into factions, increasing intra-camp conflicts. Many have been hurt,
a few even killed, during demonstrations and subsequent altercations between
the two groups.
Those that
have successfully resettled in the western countries frequently send remittance
money to their friends and family left behind in the camps in Jhapa. While remittance money helps refugees in the
camps to afford essentials and luxury goods which were beyond their means
earlier, it has also fueled an increase in drug use among camp members
according to the locals in the surrounding communities. As a result, locals
accuse those left behind in camps as being “criminal” types who are going to affect
and spoil the current and next generation of locals. Such accusations have further
increased conflicts between refugees and locals.
There
are also economic impacts due to resettlement efforts. Local entrepreneurs who
had bought land and built shops by spending exorbitant amounts near camp sites
have suffered huge losses after resettlement efforts. Land and rent prices have
fallen sharply in the surrounding areas. Local youths who went for employment
overseas because they could not compete with cheap refugee laborers aren’t
coming back to work locally. So, local businesses now face difficulty finding sufficient
labor. And, so, the local communities in Jhapa, surrounding the refugee camp
sites, are back to being unhappy, again.
Labels: Jhapa, refugees, resettlement, unemployment
Wednesday, August 10, 2011
Links for August 10, 2011
.
1. The world's current credit rating. As the picture shows, Nepal is not rated.
2. How do you sell your country's centuries of history? Well, learn it from the corrupt Nepalese politicians and bureaucrats.
3. More Nepalese are traveling outside Nepal as tourists.
4. Nepalese government to guarantee jobs to the poor.
5. Phillips Curve shows the relationship between the inflation and unemployment rate in a country. It suggests that these two macroeconomic variables have an inverse relationship i.e. when inflation is low, unemployment is high, and vice versa. The graph showing this relationship is below:

Does this mean Phillips Curve fails in the Nepalese context? Because we are suffering from "high inflation" and "high unemployment" at the same time. I don't know. Maybe some other factors are at play.
1. The world's current credit rating. As the picture shows, Nepal is not rated.
2. How do you sell your country's centuries of history? Well, learn it from the corrupt Nepalese politicians and bureaucrats.
3. More Nepalese are traveling outside Nepal as tourists.
4. Nepalese government to guarantee jobs to the poor.
5. Phillips Curve shows the relationship between the inflation and unemployment rate in a country. It suggests that these two macroeconomic variables have an inverse relationship i.e. when inflation is low, unemployment is high, and vice versa. The graph showing this relationship is below:
Does this mean Phillips Curve fails in the Nepalese context? Because we are suffering from "high inflation" and "high unemployment" at the same time. I don't know. Maybe some other factors are at play.
Labels: corruption, credit rating, jobs, tourism, unemployment
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